Constant upper level ridging will keep temperatures well above average through the end of February.
Record Warm Temperatures
Multiple days next week will feature near record high temperatures across the Carolinas. An upper level ridge is going to situate itself across the eastern United States, allowing temperatures to remain well above average for this time of year.
The image above is the GFS Ensemble temperature departure from average through Tuesday. Nearly the entire continental United States will be above average for the next five days. In the Carolinas, temperatures will be 10-20 degrees above average.
A disturbance on Saturday will bring increased clouds and even the chance of a few showers. The best chance of showers will be across the mountains. A few showers are possible outside the mountains, but rain accumulations will be on the low end.
The NAM computer model to the left shows how much rain is expected through Monday afternoon. As you can see, around a quarter of an inch of rain is possible along the mountains, and a few showers are possible along the coastal plain.
Regardless, temperatures will remain well above average on Saturday. High temperatures will still be in the mid to upper 60s, with a few low 70s across eastern NC.
Warm Temperatures Remain
Monday is President’s Day, and the weather could not be better. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 70s across the Carolinas under mostly sunny skies.
Clouds will increase on Tuesday and Wednesday, with a few showers possible on Thursday. Regardless, high temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Rain Remains Hard to Find
Rain will be at a minimum through the next seven days. The image below is the GFS computer model through the next seven days.
As you can see, the GFS keeps most areas under a quarter of an inch of rain through the next seven days. February has been a relatively dry month despite well above average precipitation in January. We need more rain, but it will not happen in the next seven days.