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Active Week With Heavy Rains and Possible Flooding

An active week is in store with two systems bringing the opportunity for heavy rains and flooding, and there may even be a chance for wintry weather for parts of the Carolinas Clouds are increasing across the Carolinas as an upper level trough continues to dive into the center of the country, bringing moisture northward from the Gulf of Mexico and allowing an area of low pressure to organize.  The system will rapidly strengthen and will bring periods of very heavy rains to the Carolinas. Flash flooding may become an issue, especially overnight Monday into Tuesday. 1-3 inches of rain

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2018-2019 Winter Weather Forecast

My official winter weather forecast has been issued for North Carolina and the United States. Long range forecasting is very difficult and is subject to many factors; therefore, a seasonal forecast provide a “best guess” of what to expect. Many hours and days of studying different computer models, analog years, current conditions, and oscillations have went into developing this forecast. Below you will find the summary of the forecast, a list of analog years used in the forecast, and the rationale behind this forecast. I believe this forecast is the most likely outcome this season; however, please understand it is

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