After an extended period of Arctic air across the eastern United States, warmer weather is expected, and finally some rain for the Carolinas.
The first story is the warm up. Temperatures across the Carolinas finally rose above freezing under strong southerly flow on Monday. You will notice the air-mass change when you walk out the door on Tuesday with temperatures hovering around the freezing mark.
The good news is above average temperatures are here to remain through the next five days. The GFS computer model shows above average temperatures through Saturday morning across the eastern United States.
The trade off will be increasing chances of rain for the rest of the week, with the best chance of rain coming when a strong upper level low and a cold front arrives for Friday and Saturday morning.
The best chances of rain on Wednesday and Thursday will be across western portions of the state, with widespread showers and thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday morning.
The image below is the GFS Ensemble computer model total precipitation through Saturday evening, and you can see many areas across the eastern United States receiving 1-2 inches of rain.
The upcoming rain chances give us the opportunity to cut into the drought that is beginning to spread across the Carolinas. This system will not bring an end to drought conditions; however, any rain is welcome when drought conditions are spreading.
After the front passes on Saturday, another round of below average temperatures arrive for the Carolinas. The good news is temperatures should not be as cold as the previous Arctic outbreak.