After a dreary Tuesday & Wednesday, warmer weather is expected to return on Thursday with showers and storms likely for the upcoming weekend.
A cold front will approach the Carolinas on Friday, bringing increased chances of showers and thunderstorms for Thursday & Friday.
The map below shows the cold front on Thursday remaining well back to our west, but by Friday, the front will be entering the Carolinas.
The front is expected to stall over the Carolinas on Saturday, so rain chances will remain elevated for the entire weekend. I am not expecting a total washout, but you will be dodging plenty of showers and storms all day Saturday & Sunday. An area of low pressure will finally push a cold front across the Carolinas on Sunday, pushing most of the moisture off the coast for Monday.
So, how much rain is expected over the next five days? The GFS Ensemble is showing very heavy rain totals through Monday morning.
I expect most areas will receive 1-2 inches of rain before this system comes to an end. Some areas will receive 2-4 inches of rain where thunderstorms develop and train over the same areas.
Thursday will be the nicest day of the next five days. Temperatures will warm up nicely into the 80s outside the mountains under partly cloudy skies. Mountain locations will see a 40% chance of afternoon showers and storms. The Catawba Valley, Charlotte metro, Greensboro metro, and Raleigh/Durham will see a 30% chance of showers and storms in the afternoon hours.